U.S. and China Finalize Major Trade Deal on Rare Earth Minerals

The US and China agreed on a trade deal framework focusing on rare earth minerals, easing some tariffs and export restrictions. Talks included partial rollback of tariffs and limiting barriers, aiming to stabilize trade amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.

Executive Summary

On June 27, 2025, the United States and China finalized a significant trade deal framework centered on rare earth minerals, marking a notable de-escalation in ongoing trade tensions. The agreement, reached after months of diplomatic negotiation, involves the U.S. lifting certain restrictive measures while China pledges to review and approve rare earth export applications more efficiently. This development is critical as rare earth minerals are essential for advanced manufacturing and technology sectors, and the deal aims to ease tariffs, stabilize trade, and restore predictability to a market shaken by recent export controls and protectionist measures.[1][2][3][4]

Latest Development

On Friday, June 27, 2025, both the U.S. and China confirmed the details of a new trade framework following high-level talks in London and earlier negotiations in Geneva. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced that the deal was signed earlier in the week. Under the agreement, China will, in accordance with its laws, review and approve eligible export applications for rare earth minerals, while the U.S. will lift a series of restrictive measures previously imposed on China. This mutual concession is designed to expedite the resumption of rare earth shipments, which are crucial for U.S. industries ranging from automotive to national defense.[1][3][4]

Recent Developments

  • April 2025: China imposed new permitting requirements on seven rare earth elements, which led to a 45-day delay in exports, disrupting global supply chains for high-tech industries.[1][3]
  • Early May 2025: Initial talks in Geneva prompted both sides to postpone planned tariff hikes, setting the stage for further negotiations.[1][3][4]
  • June 2025: London negotiations shifted focus from tariffs to export controls. The U.S. sought to secure supply of rare earths while China aimed to maintain its regulatory oversight.[1][3][4]
  • June 27, 2025: Both countries confirmed the details of the trade framework. China agreed to review export licenses in accordance with the law, and the U.S. committed to lifting restrictive trade measures.[1][3][4]

Key Impact & Analysis

The agreement is poised to reduce uncertainty in the global supply of rare earth minerals, which are vital for electric vehicles, wind turbines, advanced electronics, and national security technologies. By streamlining China’s export approval process and lifting U.S. restrictions, the deal restores a critical supply chain link disrupted since April. For U.S. manufacturers and tech companies, this means improved access to essential materials and reduced risk of production delays. For China, it maintains regulatory control while potentially easing pressure from retaliatory tariffs and restrictions.[1][3][4]

Broader implications include a potential thaw in U.S.-China economic relations, with both sides signaling willingness to compromise on strategically important sectors. Markets may respond positively as trade barriers recede and supply chain stability improves. However, the framework leaves room for both countries to reimpose controls should tensions flare again, and non-tariff measures remain a tool for future leverage.[1][4]

Looking Forward

Observers anticipate further technical discussions to clarify categories of rare earths and specific U.S. measures to be lifted. A key date to watch is the July 2025 deadline for potential new U.S. tariffs; the White House has hinted these may be deferred if the current goodwill persists. Both governments are expected to closely monitor compliance and hold follow-up talks to address disputes or implementation delays. The durability of this framework will depend on ongoing diplomatic engagement and evolving strategic priorities around technology and critical minerals.[4]

Sources

  1. https://finance-commerce.com/?p=541400
  2. https://www.ctpost.com/business/article/u-s-china-announce-a-trade-agreement-again-20397916.php
  3. https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/capital-region/politics/2025/06/27/us-deal-with-china-tariffs-export-minerals
  4. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Ao3pdBbcAg
  5. https://www.china-briefing.com/news/us-china-relations-in-the-biden-era-a-timeline/